Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 48.076392 55.071974 62.338897 70.419922 79.124280 88.188877 98.313139
2024-10-27 35.915307 45.497533 56.039310 68.365573 82.256250 97.308696 114.737554
2024-11-03 31.345325 42.645011 55.576032 71.198202 89.303987 109.394578 133.143696
2024-11-10 27.449057 39.881134 54.620883 72.937291 94.668147 119.248832 148.785742
2024-11-17 23.059915 35.919216 51.733691 71.944234 96.469391 124.716462 159.175257
2024-11-24 19.450180 32.489226 49.109447 70.918252 97.934896 129.558143 168.649916
2024-12-01 16.915600 30.169251 47.625854 71.072970 100.639644 135.722020 179.568892
2024-12-08 14.780828 28.146163 46.322004 71.279233 103.269876 141.699288 190.202929
2024-12-15 13.108967 26.591056 45.486926 71.960831 106.396257 148.213624 201.445243
2024-12-22 11.157225 24.383661 43.575619 71.074957 107.420044 152.073205 209.430851
2024-12-29 10.073827 23.403466 43.289489 72.284296 111.074230 159.148749 221.316550
2025-01-05 9.189612 22.642663 43.244280 73.766866 115.050807 166.616009 233.694212
2025-01-12 7.798468 20.870696 41.618835 73.019843 116.104351 170.461157 241.708130
2025-01-19 6.305045 18.692180 39.214150 71.045678 115.432380 172.059992 246.903579
2025-01-26 6.012873 18.726899 40.217985 73.927945 121.275126 181.978267 262.501732
2025-02-02 5.528484 18.318147 40.478501 75.710817 125.624572 189.992536 275.744645
2025-02-09 4.587647 16.826225 38.883924 74.693936 126.096301 192.968737 282.630719
2025-02-16 3.766099 15.426956 37.328315 73.643658 126.453267 195.748893 289.239147
2025-02-23 3.226703 14.562859 36.609276 73.802049 128.454857 200.659389 298.552078
2025-03-02 2.758156 13.771677 35.954300 74.013215 130.502095 205.617517 307.928540
2025-03-09 2.402193 13.193565 35.632854 74.710973 133.221696 211.462451 318.454177
2025-03-16 1.917411 12.125078 34.331335 73.804084 133.607289 214.177200 324.936353
2025-03-23 1.701868 11.797009 34.386489 75.042087 137.072782 221.014499 336.767076